Opinion: Why the AI Job Apocalypse (Probably) Won't Happen
A Quinnipiac poll in March found that 70% of Americans think that artificial intelligence will lead to fewer job opportunities for human beings, up from 56% a year ago. Thirty percent say they're worried for their own jobs. And why not? Warnings of a coming labor market apocalypse feature prominently in the remarks of AI leaders.
Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, says that up to half of all entry-level white collar jobs will dissolve within the next five years. Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, believes that most white-collar work will "be fully automated by an AI within the next 12 to 18 months." OpenAI released a policy paper calling for a 32-hour workweek so that AI creates mass leisure rather than mass joblessness. Outside my window at The New York Times, there is a large billboard for an AI company I've never heard of that reads: "Stop Hiring Humans."